July 2026
Real Resilience in An Artificial Age

By Michael Lai

Wealth Advisory

OCBC Bank, Malaysia

Highlights This Month
Wealth Insights
Healthy bull market to digest gains
As we head into the second half, peace talks between the US and Iran augurs well for the investment outlook. While the long-term bull market remains largely intact, in the near-term it could a breather to digest the sharp gains made since late March. - Eli Lee, Chief Investment Strategist, Bank of Singapore
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Global Outlook
Growth likely to remain resilient
US growth has remained surprisingly resilient, supported by strong AI-related investment and the unwinding of Liberation Day tariffs. – Selena Ling, Chief Economist & Head, OCBC Group Research
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Equities
Moderately constructive stance for equities
For the second half of 2026, we advocate a moderately constructive stance in equities, with an overweight position on US, underweight position on Europe and neutral stance for the remaining regions. – Eli Lee, Managing Director, Chief Investment Strategist, Bank of Singapore
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Bonds
A game of carry
Rates volatility and dispersion should continue to be key themes in the second half of 2026. We continue to favour high-quality credits and stay neutral on portfolio duration. – Eli Lee, Managing Director, Chief Investment Strategist, Bank of Singapore
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FX/Commodities
Gold forecast lowered
We lower our gold and silver forecasts to reflect a tougher near-term macro setup, while keeping a mild upward-sloping path as the medium-term case remains intact. - Christopher Wong, Executive Director, OCBC Group Research
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